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Monday, September 26, 2005

Live Forever? No, Thanks

I recently read the transcript of an interview where inventor Ray Kurzweil discusses birth, death, and the potential offered by non-biological thinking processes.

In simple English, we can potentially live forever with the help of biotechnology.

I didn't read the whole transcript, but here are my thoughts:

Human Beings may be able to live forever through biotechnology a few decades from now, but I'm not sure that's a good thing.

For one thing, there's the sociological problem of the Rich-Poor divide. Obviously, the rich will be better able to afford the technology that keeps them alive, but the poor will have to continue with the birth-death cycle. Since the rich will presumably stop reproducing after a while, poor populations (which are already booming) will grow at much faster rates than the rich. The rich will then become increasingly isolated in their attempts to "get away from the crowds". Add to this the obvious pressures on the poor and the dissatisfaction that may arise among the youth in poor populations and it's a wonderful recipe for revolution.

Secondly, I think there's a darn good reason why the population must be replaced on a continuous basis. It's the key to human progress. Children are always looking at the world in new ways. As we age, we tend to get fixed in our ways and want things to be done our way because "we've seen the other ways fail." Children have no such pre-conceived notions. They are constantly thinking up new things and new ways to use existing technology. Don't forget, it was the teenagers who first figured out the benefit of a "missed call" on the mobile phone.

I don't buy the argument that old people will soon think in new ways because biotechnology is keeping them alive. Not every one is a Tom Peters or a Rupert Murdoch, thinking productively and, more important, in fresh new ways, well into their seventies. Just because technology will prevent the degeneration of the brain does not mean it can reverse thousands of years of evolution in the way people think. The AVERAGE person will continue to think in somewhat fixed patterns and that can never be good for the progress of humankind.

2 Comments:

At 4:44 AM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hi, I would suggest reading Ray's new book on the Singularity, because it adeptly answers your two concerns about living significantly longer.

Briefly,

1. Due to the exponential increase in technological capabilities, and exponential decrease in cost, many technologies that cost a lot today will cost little a few years down the road. A good example is the computer systems that may be required to run your future nonbiological intelligence - today such capability barely exists in the top supercomputers that cost hundreds of millions of dollars. In 2030? Mmm maybe it will cost you $2000. 2040? It's essentially free.

2. Ray argues that in addition to simply living longer we will have the tech to increase our intelligence dramatically, both in general capacities and also in things like creativity.

 
At 1:40 PM , Blogger Deepak Morris said...

As briefly:
1. Lowering of costs does not necessarily translate into availability of the technology to the poor. Computers and mobile phones are dirt cheap today. Indian farmers are still committing suicide because they're caught in a vicious debt trap.

2. Having the tech and using it are two different things. Unless you propose to forcibly inject "thinking chips" into the entire population at birth, the majority of the population ain't gonna be using the technology.

Deepak

 

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